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PORTFOLIO AND ASSET VALUATION

Many "industry standard" pricing models make a number of simplifying assumptions about how prices behave in real world markets. A number of these unrealistic shortcuts can result in significant valuation errors.

Properly designing and calibrating custom valuation models can provide your firm with a real competitive advantage. We apply a leading edge valuation framework to a wide range of trading instruments, derivatives, and physical assets. Special attention is devoted to the risks - as well as the opportunities - associated with "real" and contractually embedded options.

We are also available on short notice to provide an impartial "second opinion" on the value and risk implication of significant transactions your firm may be considering.

Click here to view a sample of Portfolio and Asset Valuation articles authored by BSRA

Sample Project - Natural Gas Pipeline Valuation

A natural gas utility was disappointed in the returns that it was receiving from brokering excess pipeline capacity. Its traditional counterparties were all bidding below fair market value, and expected the utility to grant a number of volumetric swing rights as well.

Using a "real" option modeling approach, we showed that the position was worth significantly more than the current bids.

In order to capture this additional value, we suggested that the utility manage the risk associated with the physical and financial components separately. This process - called risk decomposition - resulted in a decision to hedge the option portion of the exposure with a financially settled contract. A bank with a AA+ credit rating, which did not trade in the physical market, was willing to pay an attractive price for these contracts.

Other sample projects: Valuation of Interest Rate Derivatives portfolio for top-3 Mortgage Bank in the United States. Valuation of Energy and Commodity Derivatives transactions for some of the largest energy and commodity trading firms worldwide.

For more information, please contact us at services@blackswanrisk.com.

 

 
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